The ExpertSignal.com Global Macro Analysis for 2026-2027

The global economy is expected to grow by 2.9-3.2% in 2026-2027. This expansion will be driven mainly by emerging economies, which are projected to grow by 4.0-4.5%.

The global economy is expected to grow by 2.9-3.2% in 2026-2027. This expansion will be driven mainly by emerging economies, which are projected to grow by 4.0-4.5%. Advanced economies are expected to grow at a slower rate, around 1.4-1.9%. Forecasts for advanced economies also point to elevated inflation (around 3%) and large government deficits (approximately -4.2% to -5.0% of GDP). Inflation in emerging economies is expected to be even higher, at 3.5-4.2%, while government deficits are projected to be slightly lower, at around -3.3% to -4.0% of GDP. All of these forecasts are based on the assumption that there will be no major geopolitical events in 2026-2027 capable of significantly harming the global economy. It is also worth noting that trade tensions, including tariffs, and unfavorable demographic trends continue to pose significant headwinds to future global growth. On the positive side, investment in artificial intelligence and infrastructure is expected to support global economic activity.

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Binary Options Trading GuideThe Complete Binary Options Trading Guide

Binary options were introduced in 2008. What characterizes a binary option is its fixed payoff: if the option is in-the-money at expiration, it pays a predetermined amount; if it is out-of-the-money at expiration, it pays nothing. Binary options are also known as digital options, ‘all-or-nothing options,’ or Fixed Return Options (FROs) in the US (notably on the American Stock Exchange).

Payout rates are not fair for traders

Generally, the payout rates of binary options correspond to the popularity of their underlying instruments. For example, EUR/USD tends to offer better payout rates than less popular currency pairs. This is because popular assets attract more competition among brokers, which usually results in better returns for traders.

However, binary options typically offer much lower returns than they should. A fair return would be around 98%, considering the risk is 100%. In reality, binary options usually provide returns between 75% and 90%, making them unfair for traders.

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Trading the Bitcoin Calendar Spread

The calendar spread is a useful gauge of how bullish or bearish traders are in a forward starting-time period. In early February, Bitcoin lost close to 70% of its value measured against its December 2017 all-time high. The spread reached a low of 0.42% annualized during the same period.

The source for this analysis is BitMEX► BitMEX Crypto Exchange

Chart: March (XBTH18) and June (XBTM18) Bitcoin/USD contract spread

Bitcoin Calendar Spread

Source: BitMEX

The above chart shows the Bitcoin price and the annualized premium of the March (XBTH18) and June (XBTM18) Bitcoin/USD contract spread.

The calendar spread is calculated by the following function:

  • Annualised Premium = [(XBTM18 Price - XBTH18 Price) / Bitcoin Spot] / 0.2493
  • 0.2493 represents the annualized time value between the March and June expiry dates.
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